The Monarchy isn’t going to abolish itself

What would we think if a government minister were to use his or her custodianship of public assets to generate profits which were then paid directly into their bank account? Even in today’s jaded politics I’m certain this would invoke howls of outrage.

And what if it was then discovered that members of parliament were determined to defend the practice and refused to scrutinise what had been going on? Couldn’t happen, surely.

Yet this exactly what happens in today’s Britain were the head of state uses public assets for private aggrandisement. King Charles III is by virtue of his office also the Duke of Lancaster. The Duchy of Lancaster is not a place but a massive commercial operation holding land, property and investments worth £700m. Last year it generated over £27m profit – all of which went to the King’s personal account. Nice work if you can get it.

This is important because whilst the Duchy runs like a private estate, it is most definitely a state asset. As the recent report “Ditch the Duchies” by the campaign group Republic shows the Duchy hasn’t been private property since at least 1461 when the English King Edward IV passed a law “confiscating the Duchy of Lancaster to the Crown of England for ever”.

Plenty of subsequent laws make it clear the Duchy is a crown asset not the personal possession of the Windsor family. Indeed, it is described as such in the current Royal Tax Memorandum (an agreement between the Treasury and the Royals) in 2023. This is why the King cannot sell any of part of the Duchy – it doesn’t belong to him.

It’s also why not a penny of corporation tax was paid on the whacking profits the duchy makes every year. It is exempted as a crown asset. An almost identical arrangement is in place for Prince William with the Duchy of Cornwall (again the name is misleading as most its land is in Devon). He gets slightly less in profits in his bank account – just £23m last year.

These financial arrangements look even worse when two other things are considered. Firstly, the beneficiaries of this provision are already phenomenally wealthy. King Charles if one of the richest people in the world with a personal fortune estimated at over two billion pounds.  It’s not as if he needs the money.

Secondly the King and other royals already receive a small fortune every year from the taxpayer. This is called the Sovereign Grant – £86 million last year. In another act of accounting sophistry monarchists will argue that this money comes from revenues raised by the Crown Estates and since there’s a good deal left over the royals actually make the country a profit. This is palpable nonsense. The Crown Estates are most definitely public rather than private assets.

Does all this matter? Well, a bit. In a country where we are told there’s not enough money to cover welfare payments for disabled people or end the cap on support for the poorest families, it is a bit shocking that our taxes are used to keep one family in such lavish opulence.

But this is not just about the money. The confusing and deliberately opaque picture that emerges from royal funding is bad enough. What is worse is the obfuscation and deceit practised by elected politicians to keep it that way.

One of the unintended consequences of last year’s election is that a bunch of SNP representatives who were recalcitrant if not critical when it came to taxpayer funding of the royals have been replaced by Labour ones who for the most part can’t tug their forelocks hard enough. In what looks like standard response from Labour head office they have been telling constituents that the Duchies of Lancaster and Cornwall are private institutions “responsible for their own commercial activities” whilst they are also “Crown bodies subject to Crown exemption”. They can’t be both.

For too long all Westminster parties have colluded in preventing scrutiny of the royal finances, giving them all the benefits of a private corporation without any of the social obligation to pay income, corporation or inheritance taxes.

If there is a glimmer of hope in all of this, it is that the public seem increasingly disinclined to practice supine deference to the aristocratic masters. As opinion polls show increasing support for abolition of the monarchy, the royals themselves face public protests at their carefully stage-managed events.

Last week’s Republic protest at Commonwealth Day offered a taste of what is to come in the year ahead.  The Palace must be wondering whether there’s really much to be gained by association with the Commonwealth. After all, three quarters of Commonwealth have ditched the monarchy and are now republics, and more are planning to follow suit.

To my mind the monarchy is intertwined with the British state and so its abolition goes hand in hand with secession from the union. But not everyone who Scotland’s independence agrees so I see no need to make republicanism a pre-condition for our campaign.

I am confident though that as support for abolition rises the realisation that independence offers that possibility will be a winning component in our campaign.

United we win, divided we lose

Things go from bad to worse for Starmer’s Labour government. Buyer’s remorse amongst the electorate rises to an epidemic. Unwilling to challenge the grotesque inequality of wealth and power in the country they govern, Labour ministers chart a course to make it worse.

But this is no time for schadenfreude amongst those want Scotland to take a different course.

The most remarkable feature of Labour’s plummeting support since last summer is just how little of it has come to the SNP. The party is up slightly, but only slightly. But in a first past the post contest with lots of parties, the one with the most support triumphs, even if it’s the choice of nowhere near half of the electorate. Just ask Keir Starmer.

This has led some to speculate that an SNP victory is now possible in next year’s Scottish general election. Some amateur psephologists predict results with the same misplaced optimism that infuses barroom pundits when they explain how the national football team can still qualify for the world cup despite a run of poor performances.

Possible, not probable. And besides, we need to be better than just not as shite as the other lot. So how does the SNP win an election convincingly? This is a question that ought to concern not only party members but everyone who wants Scotland to have the choice of self-government.

First, we need to remind ourselves what parties are for.

I think I upset Peter Bell at a conference in Edinburgh last week organised by the Independence Forum for Scotland when I refused a flyer for his new party. He suggested that I ought to be interested in discussing policy and open to new ideas. He misses the point. I will enjoy discussing policy until the cows come home, but that is not what political parties are for.

Parties exist to promote a collective interest not just by advocacy but by taking political power and using the mechanisms of a state to deliver change. In our case they are there to act on behalf of all those who believe that this country should be independent and in charge of its own affairs. At elections, they have the chance through collective action called voting to make those views influence the rules and structures of our everyday lives.

The more united a group of people are, the more effective their collective action. Divided campaigns do not win, even if the splits shear off slices at the edges rather than cleave through the centre.

How we can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory is well illustrated by the Scottish parliament electoral system.  Even after a quarter of a century how the system works is still widely misunderstood. Many people believe the regional list vote is a second preference, an opportunity to indicate who you would like to be elected if your first choice didn’t make it. It just isn’t.

The balance of parties in the parliament is decided by the list vote alone. Rather than being a second vote it is in practise your primary choice. There are sixteen seats elected in each region, nine by first past the post at constituency level and seven on the list. But how many of the sixteen each party gets is decided only by the support they get on the regional vote. It’s a confusing system that ought to be replaced but it what we have.

Broadly speaking, to get one of the sixteen seats you need to get a sixteenth of the votes – over 6%. Anything less, you get nothing.

Voting in the Alba leadership contest starts today. With the greatest of respect to all involved, does it matter? A party which gets one or two percent of the vote cannot increase the representation of Scottish independence in the parliament, it can only decrease it by lowering the share of the vote for the SNP. That’s the system.

There is now a significant section of the Scottish electorate who say they want Scotland to be independent but do not vote for any party. They cannot see how the action of voting makes independence happen. The SNP needs to explain how the two things are connected. We need a plan to deal with Supreme Court dismissals and Westminster intransigence. Without it these people are not coming back.

But this is a two-way street. In working out that plan we need all those who are already politically engaged to unite to maximise our collective strength.

I’ll leave the Scottish Greens out of the equation as whilst they support independence it is not a core belief of the party, and they draw support from many who do not.

But anyone for whom political independence is their most important thing needs to join the SNP. It will be an unpalatable message for many.  Indeed, the umbrage taken by some outside the SNP at the suggestion they join may be matched by the concern and annoyance of some running the party that they might do just that.

There is a need now for a new spirit of tolerance and compromise. Remember that many of our fellow citizens remain unconvinced of the merits of setting up a new country.  The role of an independence party is to combine representation those who believe with persuasion of those who do not. We can only do that effectively if we are united.

Aid cuts are short-sighted, wrong and immoral

Do you ever think the world’s gone mad? Then you look around and see few others agreeing with you. And you wonder if maybe it’s you, maybe you’re the mad one?

I feel a bit like that with the latest Labour bombshell, last week’s announcement that the aid budget would be cut to fund an increase in military spending.

This is a simply heinous decision. With the exception of John Swinnney and Stephen Flynn,  I see little indignation or outrage from our elected representatives. No-one has called a demo. I’ve not been bombarded with petitions from 38 degrees and others. True, the aid minister has resigned and good on her. But otherwise, there’s little evidence of rebellion on Labour’s backbenches.

What’s going on? Imagine if the Tories had done this even a year ago.

Is it just such a blow to the solar plexus of liberal democracy that we can’t catch our breath to shout back.? Perhaps our collective compassion has just been boiled like frogs, and we’ve not noticed. In much the same way as stopping to help someone lying on the street in front of you is now seen as aberrant behaviour.

But this can’t go on. In the words of the Manic Street Preachers, “if you tolerate this, then your children will be next”.

There’s two parts to this equation. Let’s start with the first, the unevidenced and unchallenged assumption that there is an imperative to rapidly increase military spending.

I for one am getting sick of one retired general after another taking to the airwaves demanding we fight a war with other people’s children. Their argument seems to be that if America is pulling resources out of NATO, these must be matched by a corresponding increase in contributions from the remaining members states.

Well no. If America is pulling out of NATO, then it’s time to reevaluate what on earth NATO is for in the first place and whether we need to look at different alliances. But doing that immediately begs the argument what is the role of a European military alliance. For starters it shouldn’t be to secure a playing field for American corporations, or to enrich American arms manufacturers.

But more than that we need to ask whether Western powers intend to exist in a permanent state of tension with the rest of the world, or to seek an accommodation with it. Is this really a battle between east and west as if the Soviet Union had never disappeared? Is it really a battle between liberalism and totalitarianism when European countries elect overt Nazis to their parliaments in droves?

We should also look at what the MoD spends money on and ask whether it is actually contributing to our collective defence. Right at the top of the audit list would be the £6.5Bn spent every year on the nuclear submarine programme. A system that is not fit for purpose, can only be maintained with American support, and drains resources from elsewhere.

That budget is many, many times the increase in spending announced last week. It could be used to ensure forces are properly staffed, trained, and equipped. Instead, it is squandered on a white elephant for the vanity of mandarins and generals who’ve never got over losing an empire.

Even if your concluded that there was a serious threat to freedom and democracy which required an increase in military expenditure, then at least have the honesty to argue that we should divert more wealth to the public sphere to pay for it. If Daily Mail readers are really so supportive of getting on a war footing, then let them pay for it.

There’s no danger of that, though. Instead, the people who will be paying are the wretched of the earth who will now be denied British aid. Those who have the misfortune to be borne into the shanty towns of the Indian sub-continent or the grinding poverty of Africa.

You cannot help but think that Starmer is playing for Reform votes here, by pandering to ill-informed prejudices about international development. Shame on him for doing so. Part of that right wing narrative is that hard earned British taxes end up in the hands of third world despots who use it to furnish their palaces whilst keeping their own population down.

If it matters, that’s not true. Pretty much none of the aid budget is given directly to national governments in the countries where is targeted. The biggest proportion goes to multilateral organisations like WHO, GAVI and the World bank’s International Development Association.  Most of the rest goes to country-by-country programmes where projects are delivered on the ground through major NGOs like Save the Children or Marie Stopes International.

To be clear none of this work has adequate funding.

The overseas aid budget has already been cut by a third since 2010. More than a quarter of what remains isn’t used for aid at all, but to pay for refugee accommodation in the UK because the government won’t let asylum seekers work for a living.

The consequences of further proposed cuts of 40% will be death and misery. The poor will get poorer. The consequences of that will be a more unequal, unstable and insecure world. This decision is not just bereft of humanity. It is counterproductive and stupid too.

Labour’s conservatism offers Indy supporters an opportunity

Labour activists meeting in Glasgow over the weekend must be wondering how it has all gone so wrong, so quickly.

Just six months ago Anas Sarwar was a shoo-in for First Minister. Now he’s fighting for third place. At 18% Labour’s poll support in Scotland is at an all time low. If people voted in line with recent polls, it would be Labour’s lowest ever share of the vote at any parliamentary election since the introduction of universal suffrage.

This disenchantment is reflected on the ground too. I don’t place much store by council by-election results. Winning wards after multiple transfers on very low turnouts tells us little about what might happen in a general election. But in his recent interview in LabourList, Ian Murray cites local byelection successes as evidence that the polls are wrong. Even that straw can’t be clutched now as the SNP won a seat off Labour in East Ayrshire on the eve of their conference.

Labour’s victory in Scotland last July doesn’t feel as if it’s made much of a change in the body politic in the country. Nearly three dozen new MPs have been almost invisible.  An infusion of political energy and ideas not.

I remember SNP MPS at Westminster getting stuck into multiple campaigns, often leading cross-party initiatives on drugs, human rights, poverty, electoral reform, Palestine, climate and much else. We said and did things, often going off party script.

I get this is probably easier in opposition. But still, the lack of any Labour MP – with the laudable exception of Brian Leishman attacking his government’s feet dragging on Grangemouth – having anything much to say about anything is remarkable.

As a consequence, they look like a sullen bunch of cheerleaders for a government Scottish people, indeed Scottish Labour supporters, don’t much like. The whole exercise is infused with as much enthusiasm and inspiration as a Taliban karaoke night out.

Labour’s woes are entirely of their own making. Global forces will always batter any administration but the central problem for Labour is that it has abandoned the social-democratic credo which the party represented for more than a hundred years. Even under Blair the mantra was for the many not the few. Not now.

Labour’s decision to protect the assets of the wealthy from social obligation now means they will tax the many, not the few. It is a bizarre political straitjacket which they have willingly put on.

Unwilling to charge the richest more, Labour have denied themselves the means to increase the proportion of the economy devoted to the public realm. That’s why they keep the Tory cap on welfare payments to the poorest. Why they’ve taken energy support off pensioners with incomes of more than £12,800. And why they are now planning to cut social support to disabled people.

Rather than review the policy of not taxing the rich, Labour leaders are doubling down. In Scotland, their finance spokesperson rails against the SNP government’s higher rates of income tax.

Meanwhile, losing support to Reform, Labour is now developing a cruel line on migrants. An erstwhile little known party pressure group Blue Labour has everyone’ attention. Now with its own parliamentary caucus, the group argues firmly against migration and demands the UK government take a much more hostile stance against people who seek to make Britain their home.

This is what is known in political theory as triangulation. When you perceive that the public has shifted its views towards your opponent, you move your policy towards them. You aim to reassure people their prejudices are safe in your hands – there’s no need to go anywhere else.

There are, however, some gaping holes in this theory. To begin with its advocates seem only to deploy it selectively, usually when trying to move policy to the right. There is for instance, considerable support in England for higher taxes for the wealthiest – but Labour policy is immune to that. In Scotland, you might think triangulation would encourage the Labour Party to respond to the growth in public support for independence by advocating more powers for Scotland. But no.

But the main problem with the theory of triangulation is that it takes the principle out of politics. Beliefs, attitudes, policies become flexible and fluid. Parties come to stand for nothing other than winning an election. Which is sort of where we are now.

In that hollowed out sphere the public give up in increasing numbers. Opt out. Abstain. To change this, to inspire and motivate people once again, parties need to represent something real. Something that offers conviction and change. 

That seems to be lost on the Labour party just now. They are instead seeking to absorb and incubate every prejudice in the hope of building a majority against the SNP. Their problem is that others are doing the same, Reform and the Tories both have the same agenda. It’s a crowded room.

Not only that, but this approach will also leave increasing numbers of decent Labour supporters disenfranchised. People who don’t see their salvation in attacking migrants and minorities. People who want a fairer more equal society. These are the people the independence movement needs to be talking to.

Rethinking regional organisation will allow SNP members more say in party.

So, the SNP rulebook. Don’t switch off just yet. I know that for people who are not members of the party this is not a gripping topic. In truth, it bores the pants off most who are members.

Yet it is important. The way in which Scotland’s largest political party, the party of government, runs itself ought to be of interest. Because, when it messes up it has consequences for us all, but most notably for that half of the population which wishes Scotland to be an independent country. Indeed, it’s fair to say that had the structures of the party been better it might have made fewer mistakes, and things could be different now.

A review is coming. A special conference takes place in Perth on March 22nd and the proposed changes in structures are now online for all to see. So, here’s the first of two previews of what’s coming up.

Most of the debate centres on the National Executive Committee, an unwieldy body of nearly fifty members which most people agree has become unfit for purpose. There are two main reasons why this has happened. The first is that the party has been (rightly) concerned about social and cultural barriers that prevent people getting involved and has (wrongly) created positions on its NEC to overcome them.

The second reason was the creation six years ago of sixteen NEC members, two of which must be elected in each of the eight Holyrood electoral regions. At least one in each region must be a woman in a laudable attempt to achieve at least fifty percent representation.

To understand why this has become a problem we need to go back to 2018, the last time the SNP made major changes to its constitution.  Back then we had a major debate about creating a regional structure for the party. The idea was to create regional organisers who would coordinate and support the work of volunteer activists. It is a common enough idea amongst not only political parties but other large membership organisations too.

The idea was well supported by the membership and resolutions passed at the national conference. But it never happened. Implementation would have required decentralisation of money, staff and power from the national headquarters. Those in charge at the time viewed this prospect with as much enthusiasm as a bucket of cold sick.

Now of course, it is not a good look for senior party staffers to be seen to contradict the will of the membership openly. So, they didn’t. On paper, regional steering committees were established but given no authority. And every attempt to fund their development was blocked.

That is the context in which the notion of regional NEC reps evolved. In strange way a mechanism which was meant to give grass roots members more direct say in the running of the party ended up doing the opposite.

The NEC is elected at conference, but the regional reps can only be elected by delegates from that region. Each region has a women’s place and a general one – two contests. So, the representation of members is atomised in sixteen separate ballots in which eight different electorates participate.  

This makes it very difficult for members who wish to change what the party does and how it does it. Minority views can only achieve representation if they succeed in winning a majority in one or more regions.

It also denies the party the benefit of good people at a national level if they have the misfortune to live in a region with a lot of other activists.

I think in some people’s minds these representatives are there to represent a particular regional interest, even when none exists. Members don’t hold different views on major policy areas like currency, public ownership, the monarchy, or whatever because of where they live.

Yet this misconception is the only explanation I can offer for the whackiest proposal ever to grace an order paper. It is being seriously proposed that in order to reduce the size of the NEC the sixteen regional reps be maintained, but only one from each region can attend each time. As if in each region the two reps had identical views and represented a homogeneous regional interest.

They don’t, of course. Nor should they. I look forward to the proponents of this nuttiness telling us what will happen if both reps for a particular region turn up for the same meeting, as they have every right to do.

What we really need now is to admit that the current regional structure of the party was still born and commit to a development plan that will look at how a new area organisation can be developed. One where we shift money and staff to that end, to encourage, train and motivate local activists and to build a winning campaigning machine.

In the meantime, we should end the pretence of regional NEC representation and elect grass roots members of the NEC in two blocks at conference, one for female candidates, and one open to anyone. That would guarantee a plurality of views on the executive which would be broadly representative of the delegates on the floor of the conference. Which means the next time the conference makes a major new policy decision, there might have a better hope of it being implemented.

Will Trump sell out Ukraine?

Today it happens. The second Trump presidency begins. More organised, we are told, than the last one. His team of billionaires ready to hit the ground running. The new American oligarchy.

Amid all the belligerence and bombast, the driving mission is clear. America first. Which means the rest of the world second. We all hold our breath, try to adjust and work out ways to survive the next four years.

As the year unfolds, we shall see what Trump’s foreign policy has in store for the world. Standing up for the human rights of others is unlikely to make the cut.

Undoubtedly this has a populist appeal at home, but abroad it will do great damage to the reputation of the world’s only superpower. The most powerful and richest country in the world seeking yet more riches and more power is not a good look.

What does this mean the war in central Europe, raging now for nearly three years? Trump proclaims he will stop World War Three and bring peace to Ukraine “in a day”. Remarkable utterances even for one so lacking in self-doubt as the new president.

There is a real fear that Trump’s proposed peace will throw Ukraine and the Ukrainians under a bus, forcing them effectively to surrender to Putin by cutting off military support.

It would be easily done. In the first two and half years of the war the US provided more than $62Bn in direct military aid, mostly hardware. That’s more than the rest of the world combined. A drop of even ten percent would be challenging for European countries to make up, and a serious cutback would spell the end for Ukraine’s capacity to defend itself.

All wars are brutal and horrific. This one more than most. In recent years we have seen wars portrayed as computer games, with the combatants disengaged for one another. Israel’s destruction of Gaza and its civilian population an extreme example where bombs are dropped on schools, housing estates and hospitals by remote and unseen operators in bunkers hundreds of miles away.

There is nothing remote about the war in Ukraine. In spite of ordnance being controlled by sophisticated computers, there are aspects of this war reminiscent of the continent’s conflicts more than a hundred years before.  Thousands of conscripts face each other dug into the earth and slogging for weeks on end to gain a few hundred metres of territory. Getting blown to bits in the process.

The killing is immediate, raw, bloody and never-ending. President Zelenskyy recently put a figure on his country’s losses; 43,000 dead and 370,000 injured. But truth is always the first casualty. So, the deaths will be more than this. And by all accounts Russian losses are twice those of Ukraine.

Probably there are well over one million dead or maimed for life in this conflict. Every one of them a human tragedy, somebody’s child.

Stopping the killing should be a priority for everyone. There has to be a ceasefire and a start to negotiations to both end the war and then to begin the process of building a lasting peace. To be clear there is no question that Russia is the aggressor here and the new US president should use all his power to force Russia to stop.

As this year unfolds, the central principle that every democrat should advocate is the right of the people of Ukraine to choose their own future. If a permanent solution requires redrawing borders that is a judgement that only Ukrainians can make. It is not one that should be forced upon them.

We also need to offer our solidarity to the mass of the Ukrainian people in ensuring that what happens next does not strengthen the hand of those who would exploit them. There are worrying proposals to change the country’s labour laws, including reducing or removing rights for workers employed by foreign companies. Could this be western corporations eyeing up an opportunity to have a new source of cheap labour nearer to home?

The trade union backed Ukraine Solidarity Campaign is clear that we need to stand with the people of Ukraine not just against the current attacks but in making sure their sacrifice achieves a democratic country where rights are protected, and wealth is shared. They will need to win the peace once this war ends.

Most of all, though, there is no secure future for Ukraine as a fortified eastern front for NATO. It is distressing that now a quarter of the way through this century we are further from removing tension and conflict in Europe than we were at the end of the last one.

When the Soviet Union did represent a fundamental ideological challenge to capitalism, there was still a process of détente, discussion and actual disarmament. The Soviets are long gone. Sadly, so are peace talks.

A new narrative is needed. One that talks of peace and reconciliation in Europe, that insists to the Russian people that we respect their right to determine their own future too.

Outside of the west, most of the rest of the world is ambivalent about Putin’s Russia, often regarding us as more of a threat. We need a global persuasion exercise for that to change. Most importantly, we need to send the message to ordinary Russians that we mean them no harm. If we can do that it will strengthen the hand of Russian democrats and prevent this Putin being` succeeded by another.

As safer drugs consumption centre opens it’s time to go further

Today, at last, the UK’s first drug consumption room opens in Glasgow. As everyone involved is at pains to point out this is not a silver bullet to Scotland’s drugs problem. It is one part of a solution. But a part that until now has been hindered by out-of-date laws and political opposition.

It shouldn’t have taken this long. Since 2016 the city council has been petitioning the Home Office for permission for this project. It has been consistently refused. Three years ago, the focus shifted to getting Scottish prosecutors to effectively agree to turn a blind eye to the technical breaches of the law required to operate the facility. And once that opinion was confirmed it took a further campaign to get the UK government to agree that it would not intervene if the Scottish government gave the go-ahead.

And now it is open. The centre is being run as a three-year pilot but if successful I predict it will not only become permanent but lead to many more similar facilities across Scotland and the rest of Britain.

We know having a safe place to take your drugs means that fewer people will die as a result. That is the universal experience of every country where this has been tried. Five years ago, I saw this first hand in Germany and Portugal as part of a parliamentary enquiry into how other countries deal with drug problems.

The centre opens with a welcome drop in the level of criticism based on uninformed prejudice which can often accompany this debate. Yet still, there are those who try to suggest the money is misplaced and ought to be diverted into rehabilitation. This is the falsest of dichotomies. We need both. And in truth, safe injecting spaces can help get users into rehab.

Although the figure is coming down the number of drug deaths in Scotland remains terrifying high. Nearly one hundred people lose their lives each month. Few, if any, of these deaths are intentional. This is not suicide. These deaths are entirely preventable.

Most are the result of people not knowing exactly what they are taking, or the effect it might have on top of other drugs or conditions. Most people die alone, behind closed doors. By the time they realise there is a problem it is too late to call for help.

Safe injection facilities where people can consume their own drugs hygienically and with help on hand won’t stop people accidentally taking a bad dose. But it will mean that if they find themselves suffering cardiac arrest or other problems as a result they can be treated there and then.

Centres like the new one in Glasgow have multi-disciplinary teams with not only medical staff but also access to advice and help on housing, employment and finance.  And there are people to talk too, many of whom will have experience of using, about how to get off for good if that is what you want.

But the importance of the supervised facility is to stop people dying at the point of use. To keep them alive long enough to stabilise the chaos in their lives so that stopping becomes an option. Too many people die before they can get the option of rehab. Which is why the Tory attempt to pit one approach against another is so despicable.

I wish the Glasgow venture well, but it is only one step on a longer journey. We need now to press with renewed vigour for changes the law. The law in question – the Misuse of Drugs Act 1969 –  is entirely reserved to Westminster and has not been reviewed for 55 years, even though the scale and nature of the problem it seeks to tackle has changed beyond recognition in that time.

The biggest single reason why there are social problems from drug use is that the current law places the entire supply, distribution and sale of them in the hands of criminals. There are probably still people who believe that prohibition prevents those who might want to try drugs from doing so. They are deluded. There is not a town in Scotland where you cannot get whatever drugs you might want. In most places you can order online and have them delivered.

Even with a regular and trusted supplier you have really no idea what you are buying. Trading standards do not apply. So, there is an element of taking your life in your hands.

But the main problem with prohibition is that it criminalises the users too. Creating an underworld beyond the reach of the law and health service where people are unwilling to ask for help because of social stigma and the real threat of arrest and imprisonment.

That is why decriminalisation of all drug use is essential if we are to effectively help those who develop addiction and other problems as a result of using. Many countries are now moving in this direction.

Doing so in Scotland ought to be the responsibility of our elected parliament. Which is why the whole area should be devolved so that the classification and regulation of drugs can be done by the same institutions who have to clear up the mess when it doesn’t work.

Operation Branchform cant go on for ever

As the new year begins there are reasons for the SNP to be in good heart. The haemorrhaging of support has arrested. The party in government is behaving with more of a sense of purpose than for some time.  A discussion is planned on party organisation with a general acceptance that reform is needed.

2025 could be the year when the party really gets its act back together. Reorganised, replenished, reactivated. But in the room where that debate is taking place sits the biggest of elephants. Operation Branchform. And we can’t not talk about it for ever.

When I say talk about it, I don’t mean discuss the matters being investigated, nor comment on the evidence being considered, nor opine on the guilt or innocence of any individual. All of that is a matter for the courts and I have no desire to be in their contempt.

But that does not mean that it is impossible to comment on the process itself or on the political impact that it is having.

The investigation of allegations of misconduct by senior officers of the SNP has been going on for three and half years. And there is no indication by the agencies involved as to when it might conclude. This is having a corrosive effect on Scottish politics. At some point it has to end.

I fully accept that the allegations are serious ones, and I will not try to minimise their import. But as Jim Sillars observed before Christmas the SNP organisation is actually a pretty small one with an HQ staff of around 20. It’s not as if we are talking about a major complex international organisation here.

Police Scotland said some time ago they have interviewed everyone they need to. Presumably by now whatever evidence there is has been collected. Now someone has to decide on it.

That decision might be complicated, perhaps not clear cut. But making the judgement whether to prosecute on the evidence is exactly what prosecutors do. Decisions are not made any easier by delaying them.

At the most basic level the people facing accusations have the right to have them dealt with. In 1868 British Prime Minister William Gladstone said justice delayed is justice denied. As senior Scottish advocates have observed that dictum is now becoming relevant in this case.  This cannot go on indefinitely.

The SNP has already changed its financial procedures as a result of concerns raised around this case, and of course, the people accused are no longer there. But until the outcome is known the party will not be able to deal with the issues it raises. It will not be able to move on.

In the meantime, Branchform hangs like a spectre over the nationalist side in the Scottish political divide. This puts the SNP at a great disadvantage, the subject of suspicion and investigation.

In many ways there’s a great unfairness to this. The allegations of wrongdoing were lodged against individuals, yet it is the wider party that suffers. After all, no one is suggesting that whatever happened came about as an act of deliberate policy agreed by SNP members. Quite the converse. The charge is precisely that senior officers of the party acted against policy and without the consent of the wider party.

Looked at this way the SNP is the victim not the perpetrator. If something bad happened, it was done to the party, not by it. Yet the press now universally describes the case as an investigation into the SNP’s finances, implying culpability for the party as a whole.

It is difficult to know the exact electoral effect that the Branchform investigation is having. Those who strongly support or strongly oppose the SNP probably won’t have their minds much altered by it. I doubt that it even has that much influence on whether people are minded to support independence.

It does though provide powerful ammunition to those whose strategy is not to attack independence but to portray the SNP as incapable of delivering it. No smoke without fire. Irrespective of the outcome, the existence of allegations of corruption undermines the party’s credibility.

But where it is having a political effect is in motivation. We know the SNP did so badly in last year’s election not because people switched to other parties, but because one-time supporters stayed at home.  For many of these people Branchform is one ingredient in the mix of their disengagement. They are not coming back until it is dealt with.

The biggest challenge for the SNP is to rebuild itself as the political wing of the independence movement. That requires changes in how we organise. It requires personnel and money dedicated to recruiting and training new activists. It requires better communication with and mobilisation of members.

Central to all of that is confidence. We need to believe in ourselves before we can ask others to believe in us. Whatever the conclusion of Branchform we can deal with it. We can put things right, make changes, move on. But not until we know what it is.

Polls are not enough – there’s still a lot to do

It’s still not six months since advocates of Scottish independence suffered a huge electoral setback.

As the year turns, are things looking better? Are we back?

Not yet. I see a lot of people getting excited this month about opinion polls showing a majority for independence. In particular there’s been spate of linking Indy to various alternative hypotheses. How would you vote if Nigel Farage were Prime Minister? If we had a republic?  If we had a well-being economy?

The problem is not that these questions are fanciful. It’s simply that they are not a good guide to the likelihood of people voting for Scotland to become an independent country.

We’ve been here before. Remember all those people who said they would embrace Indy if Brexit happened? And if Boris Johnson became PM? In the end they didn’t.

That’s because there is a world of difference between people thinking something is agreeable and them being prepared to make it happen. To win we need not only to persuade people that being and independent country is a nice idea, but that it is necessary to achieve the type of society they aspire to. Then we need to convince them that it is also possible by presenting a plausible road map to that end.

Opinion polls are important. A sustained period of majority public support will speed the journey to independence. But it is not a shortcut. It doesn’t mean you can just miss out a few stages and avoid the hard political work.

Besides given the dreadful mess Labour are making of UK government, and the unsavoury contest between the Tories and Reform on the British right, who wouldn’t consider any alternative the status quo. But we need to be better that the least bad option.

2025 must be year when we go beyond mitigating the effects of Westminster and create a convincing narrative about how the political power that comes with independent self-government is necessary to make our lives better.

Some of this is pretty obvious stuff. Take energy policy. The terrain of Scotland is blessed with a magnificent bounty of clean renewable energy. Yet the people who live here pay through the nose for power, many cannot afford to stay warm and comfortable, and the big corporations are recording record profits.

Our energy should be owned by us. Not that there’s no role for private companies, but they must operate within a public interest framework. This cannot happen overnight. But it will not happen at all unless a Scottish government has the political authority in Scotland to regulate energy companies and create new public ones. You need independence for that.

Another example is housing. If we want to tackle the shortage of homes in years rather than decades, we need to build public housing on a scale not seen for fifty years.

This requires state action. It requires the marshalling of resources on a national scale and over several generations. It requires major public borrowing and investment, and the ability to direct private equities. You need independence for that.

We must also present political independence as necessary to reset an ossified system of governance from which so many have become alienated. This is part of the attraction of Reform.

I don’t argue, for instance, that abolishing the monarchy should be a pre-condition for supporting independence. But there can be no doubt that the notion of electing the country’s head of state is an attractive alternative to a hereditary monarchy which epitomises the British class system. You need independence if people are ever to get that choice.

Democratic renewal has other aspects too. A better network of councils than the one imposed by Michael Heseltine for starters, with more scope and more agency. Genuine decentralisation and localisation of power in communities. Bold imaginative proposals to change how we are governed will help overcome cynicism and despair.

Creating a new believable prospectus for independence is only part of what needs to be done. We must also explain to people how they can make that choice. Which brings us to the right of self-determination. 

Ten years ago, there was no question that the people who lived in Scotland had the right to determine how they should be governed. Indeed the 2014 referendum was exactly the exercise of that right. The UK parliament accepted and respected the right of Scots to make their own decision.

This is not the constitutional situation we find ourselves in today. The Supreme Court has ruled that people in Scotland being able to choose their own future is not a right, but a dispensation to be granted by Westminster and entirely dependent upon the consent of the UK. This is now the law. It must be changed.

Which is why as we prepare for the next election, we need to be clear that what is at stake is not whether Scotland becomes independent, but whether the people who live here are ever again allowed to consider that option.

A vote for the SNP will always be an indication of support for Scotland’s independence. But the mandate we should seek from the people is for a campaign to change the law of the UK so that they have the right to choose it.

Labour have switched off hope as 2024 draws to a close

As we grind towards the end of 2024, what of the body politic? Next week an end of term report on the SNP’s comeback from disaster. But for now, let’s check in with the Labour Party.

By any measure this has been a thoroughly depressing and uninspiring year for humanity, in these islands and across the globe. It would be quite something if the UK government were to buck that trend. Though whether it needs to be quite this bad is arguable.

The character and content of this Labour government is defined by the manner of its creation. The people now in control of the Labour Party decided years ago to abandon any pretence of changing the world. Better to acquiesce in the conservative mediocrity which afflicts the British psyche than to challenge it.

So, Labour presented themselves as alternative managers of a failing British capitalism, offering stability and security. Steady the ship. They offered a safe home for anyone upset by the actions of the Conservative government, but no solace for its victims. The strategy was be quiet, sit back and wait, let the Tories lose.

And in its own terms it worked. Swathes of Tory voters deserted the old conservative party for a new one, secure in the knowledge that this change of allegiance didn’t require a change of belief or attitude. From benefit scroungers to immigrants, Labour offered a more humane version of their prejudices.

Traditional Labour supporters and anyone who did actually want to change the world looked on in horror. Legions of them stayed at home as turnout plumbed new depths. But it didn’t matter. The swing from the conservatives, and crucially the split in the support that remained, was sufficient to cover the loss of enthusiasm on the left.

As it usually does the first-past-the-post voting system corrupted the expressed opinions of the electorate and threw up a parliament whose composition was miles away from the views of the people. With barely a third of the votes cast in an election where two in every five voters stayed at home, Labour won a “landslide”.

So, Labour has a massive majority in parliament. Not only that but the Stepford candidates that make up the new intake in the parliamentary party can be relied upon to do what they are told. So, they could do what they want, right?

Wrong. The problem is this. Not only did Labour not promise anything much in the run up to the election, but demonstrably most people did not vote for it. It’s like having a double mandate to do nothing.

This might go some way to explaining the more bizarre decisions of the UK government in the last six months. Now in office their first concern is to earn their spurs as the natural party of government in Europe’s most unequal nation.

The people around Starmer calculate that there are no votes to be won in removing the two-child limit of state support for the poorest. But continuing it gives the impression to global capitalism that any social obligation they might face will be limited and controlled by a government happy to keep its population in line.

You’d think that by now Labour might be looking for a public relations win. Yet even in the week before Christmas the scrooge mentality triumphs as WASPI women are told to go way empty handed. The government pretends that their claim competes with funding for stretched public services. This is sophistry.

The proposal for compensation for 1950s born women came not from a campaign group or party, but from the Ombudsman service after a lengthy investigation which found the DWP guilty of maladministration. Compensation would have been paid from the National Insurance Fund rather than general departmental spending and defrayed over a number of years. Even at the full cost of £10Bn it would have been less than the surplus in the fund in the last year alone. 

Labour’s stance on WASPI and their reversal of previous support is all about image, a pretence that they are a tough government prepared to take hard decisions.

Now, don’t get me wrong. I still prefer Labour to the Tories. It is good that, however minimally, they are increasing public spending. It’s just such a pity their argument for doing so is some technocratic nonsense about the figures not adding up, rather than a validation of collective provision. They seem almost ashamed about spending more on public services, doing so because they have to, not because they want to.

And they seem determined to fund the state by placing further obligations on ordinary people with average means, as the wealthy are excused.

None of this is working. All of it is depressing. But it is the long-term effect that is most worrying. Labour have switched off hope. By refusing to challenge the structural inequality of Britain they are creating the space for others who will. In England, those answers are now coming from the right.

In Scotland, we have the opportunity to give a different answer, rooted in taking control of our own affairs and making better choices. To realise that we will need a political party capable of galvanising and mobilising public opinion. A party that can unite the people behind a credible strategy for change.

We’ll look at how that’s going next week. In the meantime, season’s greetings.